Daniel Hayes – Publications

ORCID iD iconorcid.org/0000-0002-3011-7934

Link to Google Scholar Page


Roy, S., Wei, X., Weiskittel, A., Hayes, D. J., Nelson, P., & Contosta, A. (2024). Influence of climate zone shifts on forest ecosystems in northeastern United States and maritime CanadaEcological Indicators160, 111921.

Wei, X., Hayes, D. J., Li, D., Butman, D. E., & Brewin, R. J. (2024). Fates of Terrigenous Dissolved Organic Carbon in the Gulf of MaineEnvironmental Science & Technology, doi:10.1021/acs.est.3c08218.

Shannon, E. S., Finley, A. O., Hayes, D. J., Noralez, S. N., Weiskittel, A. R., Cook, B. D., & Babcock, C. (2024). Quantifying and correcting geolocation error in spaceborne LiDAR forest canopy observations using high spatial accuracy data: A Bayesian model approachEnvironmetrics, e2840.


Casas-Ruiz, J. P., Bodmer, P., Bona, K. A., Butman, D., Couturier, M., Emilson, E. J., Finlay, K., Genet, H., Hayes, D., Karlsson, J., Paré, D., Peng, C., Streigl, R., Webb, J., Wei, X., Ziegler, S.E., & Del Giorgio, P. A. (2023). Integrating terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems to constrain estimates of land-atmosphere carbon exchange. Nature Communications, 14(1), 1571.

Wei, X., D.J. Hayes, P. Ku, X. Yang, & D.M. Ricciuto (2023) Diminishing marginal effect in estimating the dissolved organic carbon export from a watershed, Environmental Research Communications, 5 031003, doi:10.1088/2515-7620/acbf11.

Wei, X., J. Zhao, D.J. Hayes, L. Li, A. Daigneault, and H. Zhu (2023) A life cycle and product type based estimator for quantifying the carbon stored in wood products, Carbon Balance and Management, 18, 1, doi.org/10.1186/s13021-022-00220-y.

Yang, D., Morrison, B.D., Hanston, W., McMahon, A., Baskaran, L., Hayes, D.J., Miller, C.E. and Serbin, S.P., (2023). Integrating very-high-resolution UAS data and airborne imaging spectroscopy to map the fractional composition of Arctic plant functional types in Western AlaskaRemote Sensing of Environment286, p.113430.


Murray‐Tortarolo, G., Poulter, B., Vargas, R., Hayes, D., Michalak, A.M., Williams, C., Windham‐Myers, L., Wang, J.A., Wickland, K.P., Butman, D. , Tian, H., et al. (2022). A process‐model perspective on recent changes in the carbon cycle of North America. Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, p.e2022JG006904.

Yang, D., Morrison, B.D., Davidson, K.J., Lamour, J., Li, Q., Nelson, P.R., Hantson, W., Hayes, D.J., Swetnam, T.L., McMahon, A., and J. Anderson (2022). Remote Sensing from Unoccupied Aerial Systems: Opportunities to Enhance Arctic Plant Ecology in a Changing Climate, Journal of Ecology, doi:10.1111/1365-2745.13976.

Li, L., X. Wei, J. Zhao, D.J. Hayes, A. Daigneault, A. Weiskittel, A.R. Kizha, S.R. O’Neill (2022). Technological Advancement Expands Carbon Storage within Harvested Wood Products in Maine, USA, Biomass and Bioenergy, 161, 106457.

Canadell, J.G., Poulter, B., Bastos, A., Ciais, P., Hayes, D.J., Thompson, R.L. and Villalobos, Y., (2022). Balancing greenhouse gas sources and sinks: Inventories, budgets, and climate policy. In Balancing Greenhouse Gas Budgets (pp. 3-28). Elsevier.

Hayes, D.J., Butman, D.E., Domke, G.M., Fisher, J.B., Neigh, C.S. and Welp, L.R., (2022). Boreal forests. In Balancing Greenhouse Gas Budgets (pp. 203-236). Elsevier.

Liu, X., Cho, S., Armsworth, P.A., and Hayes, D.J. (2022). Does a trade-off exist between economic and environmental impacts of forest carbon payment programs? Sustainability Science, doi: 10.1007/s11625-022-01114-1.


Ayrey, E.; Hayes, D.J.; Kilbride, J.B.; Fraver, S.; Kershaw, J.A., Jr.; Cook, B.D.; Weiskittel, A.R. (2021). Synthesizing Disparate LiDAR and Satellite Datasets through Deep Learning to Generate Wall-to-Wall Regional Inventories for the Complex, Mixed-Species Forests of the Eastern United States. Remote Sensing, 13, 5113.

Yang, D., Morrison, B.D., Hantson, W., Breen, A.L., McMahon, A., Li, Q., Salmon, V.G., Hayes, D.J. and Serbin, S.P. (2021). Landscape-scale characterization of Arctic tundra vegetation composition, structure, and function with a multi-sensor unoccupied aerial system. Environmental Research Letters, 16 (8), 085005.

Wei, X.Hayes, D. J.Fernandez, I.Zhao, J.Fraver, S.Chan, C., & Diao, J. (2021). Identifying key environmental factors explaining temporal patterns of DOC export from watersheds in the conterminous United StatesJournal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences126, e2020JG005813.

Chan, C., Nelson, P. R., Hayes, D. J., Zhang, Y. J., & Hall, B. (2021). Predicting Water Stress in Wild Blueberry Fields Using Airborne Visible and Near Infrared Imaging Spectroscopy. Remote Sensing, 13(8), 1425.

Liu, X., Cho, S. H., Armsworth, P. R., & Hayes, D. J. (2021). Where and When Carbon Storage can be Bought Cost Effectively from Private Forest OwnersEnvironmental Management, 1-19.

Wei, X., D.J. Hayes, I. Fernandez, S. Fraver, J. Zhao and A.R. Weiskittel (2021). Climate and atmospheric deposition drive the inter-annual variability and long-term trend of dissolved organic carbon flux in the conterminous United States, Science of the Total Environment, 145448.

Wei, X., D.J. Hayes, and I. Fernandez (2021). Fire reduces riverine DOC concentration draining a watershed and alters post-fire DOC recovery patterns, Environmental Research Letters, 16 (2021) 024022.

Cho, S.H., Lee, Y.G., Sharma, B.P. and Hayes, D.J. (2021). Do ecological–economic tradeoffs triggered by budget allocations for forest carbon sequestration change under different market conditions? Sustainability Science, 16(1), 69-84.


Yang, D., Meng, R., Morrison, B. D., McMahon, A., Hantson, W., Hayes, D. J., Breen, A.L., Salmon, V.G. and Serbin, S. P. (2020). A Multi-Sensor Unoccupied Aerial System Improves Characterization of Vegetation Composition and Canopy Properties in the Arctic Tundra. Remote Sensing, 12(16), 2638.

Jia, B., Luo, X., Cai, X., Jain, A., Huntzinger, D. N., Xie, Z., Zeng, N., Mao, J., Shi, X., Ito, A., Wei, Y., Tian, H., Poulter, B., Hayes, D., and Schaefer, K. (2020). Impacts of land-use change and elevated CO2 on the interannual variations and seasonal cycles of gross primary productivity in China, Earth System Dynamics,  11, no. 1 (2020): 235-249.

Guevara, M., Arroyo, C., Brunsell, N., Cruz, C.O., Domke, G., Equihua, J., Etchevers, J., Hayes, D., Hengl, T., Ibelles, A., Johnson, K., Jong, B., Libohova, Z., Llamas, R., Nave, L., Ornelas, J.L., Paz, F., Ressl, R., Schwartz, A., Victoria, A., Wills, S., Vargas, R. (2020). Soil Organic Carbon across Mexico and the conterminous United States (1991‐2010). Global Biogeochemical Cycles. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GB006219

Andresen, CG, Lawrence, DM, Wilson, CJ, McGuire, AD, Koven, C, Schaefer, K, Jafarov, E, Peng, S, Chen, X, Gouttevin, I, Burke, E, Chadburn, S, Ji, D, Chen, C, Hayes, D, Zhang, W (2020). Soil moisture and hydrology projections of the permafrost region – a model intercomparison. The Cryosphere. 14. 445-459. 10.5194/tc-14-445-2020.

Cho, S.H., Ayara, A.B., Lambert, D.M., Clark, C.D., Chen, G., Hayes, D.J. and Sharma, B.P. (2020). Deriving site-specific and time-varying supply curves for forest carbon storage. Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, pp.1-19, doi: 10.1080/09640568.2019.1705771.

Huntzinger, D.N., K. Schaefer, C. Schwalm, J.B. Fisher, D.J. Hayes, E. Stofferahn, J. Carey, A. M. Michalak, Y. Wei, A. Jain, H. Kolus, J. Mao, B. Poulter, X. Shi, J. Tang, H. Tian (2020). Evaluation of simulated soil carbon dynamics in Arctic-Boreal ecosystems, Environmental Research Letters, 15(2), 025005.

He, Y., S. Peng, Y. Liu, X. Li, K. Wang, P. Ciais, A. Arain, Y. Fang, J.B. Fisher, D. Goll, and D.J. Hayes (2020). Global vegetation biomass production efficiency constrained by models and observations. Global Change Biology, DOI: 10.1111/gcb.14816.


Chen, C., X. Wei, A.R. Weiskittel, and D.J. Hayes (2019). Merchantable carbon stock not reduced between cycles of spruce budworm outbreaks in spruce-fir forests of Maine, USA, Forest Ecology and Management, 453, 117590.

Liu, X., S. Cho, D.J. Hayes and P.R. Armsworth (2019). Potential efficiency gains in payment programs from resolving spatial and temporal heterogeneity in the cost of supplying forest carbon, Journal of Environmental Management, 250, 109421.

Schwalm, C.R., Schaefer, K., Fisher, J.B., Huntzinger, D., Elshorbany, Y., Fang, Y., Hayes, D., Jafarov, E., Michalak, A.M., Piper, M. and Stofferahn, E. (2019). Divergence in land surface modeling: linking spread to structure. Environmental Research Communications1(11), p.111004.

Ayrey, E., D.J. Hayes, S. Fraver, J. A. Kershaw, and A.R. Weiskittel (2019). Ecologically-based metrics for assessing structure in developing area-based, enhanced forest inventories from LiDAR, Canadian Journal of Remote Sensing, DOI: 10.1080/07038992.2019.1612738.

Stofferahn, E., J. B. Fisher, D. J. Hayes, C. R. Schwalm, D. N. Huntzinger, W. Hantson, B. Poulter, and Z. Zhang (2019). The Arctic-Boreal vulnerability experiment model benchmarking systemEnvironmental Research Letters14(5), 055002. doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab10fa.


Wei, X., Hayes, D. J., Fraver, S., & Chen, G. (2018). Global pyrogenic carbon production during recent decades has created the potential for a large, long-term sink of atmospheric CO2. Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, 123. doi.org/10.1029/2018JG004490.

Hayes, D. J., R. Vargas, S. R. Alin, R. T. Conant, L. R. Hutyra, A. R. Jacobson, W. A. Kurz, S. Liu, A. D. McGuire, B. Poulter, and C. W. Woodall (2018). Chapter 2: The North American carbon budget. In Second State of the Carbon Cycle Report (SOCCR2): A Sustained Assessment Report [Cavallaro, N., G. Shrestha, R. Birdsey, M. A. Mayes, R. G. Najjar, S. C. Reed, P. Romero-Lankao, and Z. Zhu (eds.)]. U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC, USA, pp. 71-108, doi.org/10.7930/SOCCR2.2018.Ch2.

Li, Z., Xia, J., Ahlstroem, A., Rinke, A., Koven, C., Hayes, D.J., Ji, D., Zhang, G., Krinner, G., Chen, G. and Cheng, W., (2018). Non-uniform seasonal warming regulates vegetation greening and atmospheric CO2 amplification over northern lands. Environmental Research Letters, 13, 124008.

Villarreal, S., M. Guevara, D. Alcaraz-Segura, N. Brunsell, D.J. Hayes, H.W. Loescher, and R. Vargas (2018). Ecosystem functional diversity and the representativeness of environmental networks across the conterminous United StatesAgricultural and Forest Meteorology, 262, pp.423-433.

Ayrey, E. and Hayes, D.J., (2018). The Use of Three-Dimensional Convolutional Neural Networks to Interpret LiDAR for Forest InventoryRemote Sensing10(4), p.649.

Forbes, W., Mao, J., Jin, M., Kao, S.C., Fu, W., Shi, X., Ricciuto, D.M., Thornton, P.E., Ribes, A., Wang, Y., Piao, S., Zhao, T., Schwalm, C.R., Hoffman, F., Fisher, J.B., Ito, A., Poulter, B., Fang, Y., Tian, H., Jain, A.K., and Hayes, D.J. (2018). Contribution of environmental forcings to US runoff changes for the period 1950-2010, Environmental Research Letters, 13(5), p.054023.

McGuire, A.D., DM. Lawrence, C. Koven, J.S. Clein, E. Burke, G. Chen, E. Jafarov, A.H. MacDougall, S. Marchenko, D. Nicolsky, S. Peng, A. Rinke, P. Ciais, I. Gouttevin, D.J. Hayes, D. Jin, Ge. Krinner, J.C. Moore, V. Romanovsky, C. Schädel, K. Schaefer, E.A.G. Schuur, and Q. Zhuang (2018). The Dependence of the Evolution of Carbon Dynamics in the Northern Permafrost Region on the Trajectory of Climate Change, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, p.201719903.

Fisher, J.B., Hayes, D.J., Schwalm, C.R., Huntzinger, D.N., Stofferahn, E., Schaefer, K., Luo, Y., Wullschleger, S.D., Goetz, S., Miller, C.E. and Griffith, P., (2018). Missing pieces to modeling the Arctic-Boreal puzzle. Environmental Research Letters, 13(2), 020202.


Chen, G., S. Pan, D.J. Hayes and H. Tian (2017). Spatial and temporal patterns of plantation forests in the United States since the 1930s: An annual and gridded data set for regional Earth system modeling, Earth System Science Data, 9(2), 545.

Schwalm, C.R., W.R.L. Anderegg, A.M. Michalak, J.B. Fisher, F. Biondi, G. Koch , M. Litvak, K. Ogle, J.D. Shaw, A. Wolf, D.N. Huntzinger, K. Schaefer, R. Cook, Y. Wei, Y. Fang, D.J. Hayes, M. Huang, A. Jain and H. Tian (2017). Global patterns of drought recovery, Nature, 548, doi:10.1038/nature23021.

Huntzinger, D.N., A. M. Michalak, C. Schwalm, P. Ciais, A.W. King, Y. Fang, K. Schaefer, Y. Wei, R.B. Cook, J.B. Fisher, D.J. Hayes, M. Huang, A. Ito, A. K. Jain, H. Lei, C. Lu, F. Maignan, J. Mao, N. Parazoo, S. Peng, B. Poulter, D. Ricciuto, X. Shi, H. Tian, W. Wang, N. Zeng, F. Zhao (2017). Uncertainty in the response of terrestrial carbon sink to environmental drivers undermines carbon-climate feedback predictions, Scientific Reports, 7, 4765, doi:10.1038/s41598-017-03818-2.

Fang, Y., AM Michalak, CR Schwalm, DN Huntzinger, JA Berry, P Ciais, Shilong Piao, B Poulter, JB Fisher, RB Cook, DJ Hayes, M Huang, A Ito, A Jain, H Lei, C Lu, J Mao, NC Parazoo, S Peng, DM Ricciuto, X Shi, B Tao, H Tian, W Wang, Y Wei and J Yang (2017). Global land carbon sink response to temperature and precipitation varies with ENSO phase, Environmental Research Letters, 12 (6), 064007, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa6e8e.

Chen, G., D.J. Hayes and A.D. McGuire (2017). Contributions of wildland fire to terrestrial ecosystem carbon dynamics in North America from 1990 – 2012, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 31, doi:10.1002/2016GB005548.

Hughes, M.J., S.D. Kaylor and D.J. Hayes (2017). Patch-Based Forest Change Detection from Landsat Time Series. Forests, 8(5), 166.

Xia, J, McGuire, AD, Lawrence, D, Burke, E, Chen, G, Chen, X, Delire, C, Koven, C, MacDougall, A, Peng, S, Rinke, A, Saito, K, Zhang, W, Alkama, R, Bohn, TJ, Ciais, P, Decharme, B, Gouttevin, I, Hajima, T, Hayes, DJ, Ji, D, Krinner, G, Lettenmaier, DP, Miller, PA, Moore, JC, Smith, B, Sueyoshi, T, Shi, Z, Yan, L, Liang, J, Jiang, L, Luo, Y (2017). Terrestrial ecosystem model performance in simulating net primary productivity and its vulnerability to climate change in the northern permafrost region, Journal of Geophysical Research  – Biogeosciences, 122, doi:10.1002/2016JG003384.

Vargas, R., D. Alcaraz-Segura, R. Birdsey, N.A. Brunsell, C.O. Cruz, B. de Jong, J. Etchevers, M. Guevara, D.J. Hayes, K. Johnson, H. Loescher, F. Paz, Y. Ryu, Z. Sanchez, and K.P. Toledo-Gutierrez (2017). Enhancing interoperability to facilitate implementation of REDD+: Case study of Mexico. Carbon Management, pp. 1-9, doi:10.1080/ 17583004.2017.1285177.

Ayrey, E., S. Fraver, J.A. Kershaw Jr., L.S. Kenefic, D.J. Hayes, A.R. Weiskittel, and B.E. Roth (2017). Layer Stacking: A novel algorithm for individual forest tree segmentation from LiDAR point clouds, Canadian Journal of Remote Sensing, pp. 1-13.


Thomas, R.T., I.C. Prentice, H. Graven, P. Ciais, J.B. Fisher, D.J. Hayes, M. Huang, D.N. Huntzinger, A. Ito, A. Jain, J. Mao, A.M. Michalak, S. Peng, B. Poulter, D.M. Ricciuto, X. Shi, C. Schwalm, H. Tian and N. Zeng (2016). CO2 and greening observations indicate increasing light-use efficiency in northern terrestrial ecosystems, Geophysical Research Letters 43(21).

Olefeldt, D., S. Goswami, G. Grosse, D.J. Hayes, G. Hugelius, P. Kuhry, A.D. McGuire, V.E. Romanovsky, A.B.K. Sannel, E.A.G. Schuur, M.R. Turetsky (2016). Circumpolar distribution and carbon storage of thermokarst landscapes, Nature Communications, 7, 13043 doi: 10.1038/ncomms13043.

McGuire, A. D., C. Koven, D. M. Lawrence, J. S. Clein, J. Xia, C. Beer, E. Burke, G. Chen, X. Chen, C. Delire, E. Jafarov, A. H. MacDougall, S. Marchenko, D. Nicolsky, S. Peng, A. Rinke, K. Saito, W. Zhang, R. Alkama, T. J. Bohn, P. Ciais, B. Decharme, A. Ekici, I. Gouttevin, T. Hajima, D. J. Hayes, D. Ji, G. Krinner, D. P. Lettenmaier, Y. Luo, P. A. Miller, J. C. Moore, V. Romanovsky, C. Schädel, K. Schaefer, E. A. Schuur, B. Smith, T. Sueyoshi, and Q. Zhuang (2016). Variability in the sensitivity among model simulations of permafrost and carbon dynamics in the permafrost region between 1960 and 2009. Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 29, doi: 10.1002/2016GB005405.

Ito, A., Inatomi, M., Huntzinger, D., Schwalm, C., Michalak, A., Cook, R., King, A., Mao, J., Wei, Y., Post, W., Wang, W., Arain, M., Huang, S., Hayes, D., Ricciuto, D., Shi, X., Huang, M., Lei, H., Tian, H., Lu, C., Yang, J., Tao, B., Jain, A., Poulter, B., Peng, S., Ciais, P., Fisher, J., Parazoo, N., Schaefer, K., Peng, C., Zeng, N., & Zhao, F. (2016). Decadal trends in the seasonal-cycle amplitude of terrestrial CO2 exchange resulting from the ensemble of terrestrial biosphere models. Tellus B, 68. doi:10.3402/tellusb.v68.28968

Dale, V.H., M.J. Hughes, and D.J. Hayes (2016). Climate change and the future of natural disturbances in the southeastern forest region. In C. Greenberg and B. Collins (eds.) Natural Disturbances: Historic Range of Variation and Effects on Upland Hardwood Forest Structure in the Southeastern US, Springer, New York, pp.355-369.


Jones, B.M., G. Grosse, C.D. Arp, E. Miller, L. Liu, D.J. Hayes and C.F. Larsen (2015). Recent Arctic tundra fire initiates widespread thermokarst development, Scientific Reports, 5, 15865. doi: 10.1038/srep15865.

Koven, C.D, E. A. G. Schuur, C. Schaedel, T. Bohn, E. J. Burke, G. Chen, X. Chen, P. Ciais, G. Grosse, J. W. Harden, D. J. Hayes, G. Hugelius, E. E. Jafarov, G. Krinner, P. Kuhry, D. M. Lawrence, A. H. MacDougall, S. S. Marchenko, A. D. McGuire, S. M. Natali, D. J. Nicolsky, D. Olefeldt, S. Peng, V. E. Romanovsky, K. M. Schaefer, J. Strauss, C. C. Treat, and M. Turetsky (2015). A simplified, data-constrained approach to estimate the permafrost carbon-climate feedback, Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A, 373: 20140423. doi:10.1098/rsta.2014.0423.

Mao, J., W. Fu, X. Shi, D.M. Ricciuto, J.B. Fisher, R.E. Dickinson, Y. Wei, W. Shem, S. Piao, K. Wang, C.R. Schwalm, H. Tian, M. Mu, A. Arain, P. Ciais, R. Cook, Y. Dai, D. Hayes, F.M. Hoffman, M. Huang, S. Huang, D.N. Huntzinger, A. Ito, A. Jain, A.W. King, H. Lei, C. Lu, A.M. Michalak, N. Parazoo, C. Peng, S. Peng, B. Poulter, K. Schaefer, E. Jafarov, P.E. Thornton, W. Wang, N. Zeng, Z. Zeng, F. Zhao, Q. Zhu  and Z. Zhu (2015). Disentangling climatic and anthropogenic controls on global terrestrial evapotranspiration trends, Environmental Research Letters, 10, 094008.

Parmentier, F.W., W. Zhang, Y. Mi, X. Zhu, J. van Huissteden, D.J. Hayes, Q. Zhuang, T.R. Christensen, and A.D. McGuire (2015). Rising methane emissions from northern wetlands associated with sea ice decline, Geophysical Research Letters, 2015GL065013R, 42, doi:10.1002/2015GL065013.

Masek, J.G., D.J. Hayes, M.J. Hughes, S.P. Healey and D.P. Turner (2015). The role of remote sensing in process-scaling studies of managed forest ecosystems, Forest Ecology and Management, 355, 109–123, doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2015.05.032.

Schwalm, C.R., D.N. Huntinzger, J.B. Fisher, A.M. Michalak, K. Bowman, P. Cias, R. Cook, B. El-Masri, D. Hayes, M. Huang, A. Ito, A. Jain, A.W. King, H. Lei, J. Liu, C. Lu, J. Mao, S. Peng, B. Poulter, D. Ricciuto, K. Schaefer, X. Shi, B. Tao, H. Tian, W. Wang, Y. Wei, J. Yang, and N. Zeng (2015). Toward “optimal” integration of terrestrial biosphere models, Geophysical Research Letters, 42, doi: 10.1002/2015GL064002.

Tian, H., C. Lu, J. Yang, K. Banger, D. Huntzinger, C. Schwalm, A. Michalak, R. Cook, P. Cias, D. Hayes, M. Huang, A. Ito, A. Jain, H. Lei, J. Mao, S. Pan, W. Post, S. Peng, B. Poulter, W. Ren, D. Ricciuto, K. Schaefer, X. Shi, B. Tao, W. Wang, Y. Wei, Q. Yang, B. Zhang, N. Zeng (2015). Global patterns of soil carbon stocks and fluxes as simulated by multiple terrestrial biosphere models: sources and magnitude of uncertainty, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 29, doi:10.1002/2014GB005021.

Schuur, E.A.G., A.D. McGuire, C. Schädel, G. Grosse, J.W. Harden, D.J. Hayes, G. Hugelius, C.D. Koven, P. Kuhry, D.M. Lawrence, S.M. Natali, D. Olefeldt, V.E. Romanovsky, K. Schaefer, M. Turetsky, C. Treat, J.E. Vonk (2015). Climate change and the permafrost carbon feedback, Nature, 520, 171–179, doi:10.1038/nature14338.

Goswami, S., X. Xu, and D. Hayes (2015). Four key areas for training the next-generation of global change researchers , Current Science, 108 (7), 1195-1196.

King, A.W., R.J. Andres, K.J. Davis, M. Hafer, D.J. Hayes, D.N. Huntzinger, B. de Jong, W.A. Kurz, A.D McGuire, R. Vargas, Y. Wei, T.O. West, and C.W. Woodall (2015). North America’s net terrestrial carbon exchange with the atmosphere 1990-2009, Biogeosciences, 12, 399-414, doi: 10.5194/bg-12-1-2015.


Tian, H., G. Chen, C. Lu, X. Xu, D.J. Hayes, W. Ren, S. Pan, D.N. Huntzinger and S.C. Wofsy (2014) North American terrestrial CO2 uptake largely offset by CH4 and N2O emissions: Toward a full accounting of the greenhouse gas budget, Climatic Change, 10.1007/s10584-014-1072-9.

Lei, H., M. Huang, L. R. Leung, D. Yang, X. Shi, J. Mao, D.J. Hayes, C. R. Schwalm, Y. Wei, and S. Liu (2014) Sensitivity of global terrestrial gross primary production to hydrologic states simulated by the Community Land Model using two runoff parameterizations. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 06, doi:10.1002/2013MS000252.

Hughes, M.J and D.J. Hayes (2014) Automated detection of cloud and cloud-shadow in single-date Landsat imagery using neural networks and spatial post-processing, Remote Sensing, 6(6), 4907-4926, doi:10.3390/rs6064907.

Hayes, D.J., D.W. Kicklighter, A.D. McGuire, M. Chen, Q. Zhuang, F. Yuan, J.M. Melillo, and S.D. Wullschleger (2014) The impacts of recent permafrost thaw on land-atmosphere greenhouse gas exchange, Environmental Research Letters, 9, 045005, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/9/4/045005.

Fisher, J. B., Sikka, M., Oechel, W. C., Huntzinger, D. N., Melton, J. R., Koven, C. D., Ahlström, A., Arain, A. M., Baker, I., Chen, J. M., Ciais, P., Davidson, C., Dietze, M., El-Masri, B., Hayes, D., Huntingford, C., Jain, A., Levy, P. E., Lomas, M. R., Poulter, B., Price, D., Sahoo, A. K., Schaefer, K., Tian, H., Tomelleri, E., Verbeeck, H., Viovy, N., Wania, R., Zeng, N., and Miller, C. E. (2014) Carbon cycle uncertainty in the Alaskan Arctic, Biogeosciences, 11, 4271-4288, doi:10.5194/bg-11-1-2014.


Huntzinger, D. N., Schwalm, C., Michalak, A. M., Schaefer, K., King, A. W., Wei, Y., Jacobson, A., Liu, S., Cook, R. B., Post, W. M., Berthier, G., Hayes, D., Huang, M., Ito, A., Lei, H., Lu, C., Mao, J., Peng, C. H., Peng, S., Poulter, B., Riccuito, D., Shi, X., Tian, H., Wang, W., Zeng, N., Zhao, F., and Zhu, Q. (2013) The North American Carbon Program Multi-Scale Synthesis and Terrestrial Model Intercomparison Project – Part 1: Overview and experimental design, Geosci. Model Dev., 6, 2121-2133, doi:10.5194/gmd-6-2121-2013.

Kicklighter, D.W., D.J. Hayes, J.W. McClelland, B.J. Peterson, A.D. McGuire, and J.M. Melillo (2013) Insights and issues with simulating terrestrial DOC loading of arctic river networks, Ecological Applications, 23, 1817–1836, doi:10.1890/11-1050.

Schuur, E.A.G., B.W. Abbott, W.B. Bowden, V. Brovkin, P. Camill, J.P. Canadell, J.P. Chanton, F.S. Chapin III, T.R. Christensen, P. Ciais, B.T. Crosby, C.I. Czimczik, G. Grosse, J. Harden, D.J. Hayes, G. Hugelius, J.D. Jastrow, J.B. Jones, T. Kleinen, C.D. Koven, G. Krinner, P. Kuhry, D.M. Lawrence, A.D. McGuire, S.M. Natali, J.A. O’Donnell, C.L. Ping, W.J. Riley, A. Rinke, V.E. Romanovsky, A.B.K. Sannel, C. Schädel, K. Schaefer, J. Sky, Z.M. Subin, C. Tarnocai, M. Turetsky, M. Waldrop, K. M. Walter-Anthony, K. P. Wickland, C.J. Wilson, S.A. Zimov (2013) Expert assessment of vulnerability of permafrost carbon to climate change. Climatic Change, 119, 359-374.


King, A.W., D.J. Hayes, D.N. Huntzinger, T.O. West and W.M. Post (2012) North America carbon dioxide sources and sinks: magnitude, attribution, and uncertainty, Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 10(10), 512–519, doi:10.1890/120066.

Hayes, D.J. and D.P. Turner (2012) The need for “apples-to-apples” comparisons of carbon dioxide source and sink estimates, Eos Trans. AGU, 95(41), 404-405, doi:10.1029/2012EO410007.

Weng, E., Y. Luo, W. Wang, H. Wang, D.J. Hayes, A.D. McGuire, A. Hastings, and D.S. Schimel (2012) Ecosystem carbon storage capacity as affected by disturbance regimes: A general theoretical model, Journal of Geophysical  Research, 117, G03014, doi:10.1029/2012JG002040.

McGuire, A.D., T. Christensen, D.J. Hayes, A. Heroult, E.S. Euskirchen,  J.S. Kimball, C. Koven, P. Lefleur, P.A. Miller, W. Oechel, P. Peylin, M. Williams, and Y. Yi (2012) An assessment of the carbon balance of arctic tundra: Comparisons among observations, process models, and atmospheric inversions, Biogeosciences, 9, 3185-3204, doi:10.5194/bg-9-3815-2012.

Huntzinger, D.N., W.M. Post, Y. Wei, A.M. Michalak, T.O. West, A.R. Jacobson, I.T. Baker, J. M. Chen, K.J. Davis, D.J. Hayes, F.M. Hoffman, A.K. Jain, S. Liu, A.D. McGuire, R.P. Neilson, B. Poulter, B.M. Raczka, H.Q. Tian, P. Thornton, E. Tomelleri, N. Viovy, J. Xiao, N. Zeng, M. Zhao, and R. Cook (2012) North American Carbon Program (NACP) Regional Interim Synthesis: Terrestrial Biospheric Model Intercomparison, Ecological Modeling, 232, 144-157, doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2012.02.004.

Hayes, D.J., D.P. Turner, G. Stinson, A.D. McGuire, Y. Wei, T.O. West, L.S. Heath, B. deJong, B.G. McConkey, R.A. Birdsey, W.A. Kurz, A.R. Jacobson, D.N. Huntzinger, Y. Pan, W.M. Post, and R.B. Cook (2012) Reconciling estimates of the contemporary North American carbon balance among terrestrial biosphere models, atmospheric inversions and a new approach for estimating net ecosystem exchange from inventory-based data. Global Change Biology, 18, 1282-1289, doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02627.x.

Shvidenko, A.Z., E. Gustafson, A. D. McGuire, V.I. Kharuk, D.G. Schepaschenko, H.H. Shugart, N.M. Tchebakova, N.N. Vygodskaya, A.A. Onuchin, D.J. Hayes, I. McCallum, S. Maksyutov, L.V. Mukhortova, A. J. Soja, L. Belelli-Marchesini, J.A. Kurbatova, A.V. Oltchev, E.I. Parfenova, and J.K. Shuman (2012) Terrestrial Ecosystems and Their Change, Chapter 6 in P.Ya. Groisman and G. Gutman (eds.), Regional Environmental Changes in Siberia and Their Global Consequences, Springer Environmental Science and Engineering, pp. 171 -249, DOI 10.1007/978-94-007-4569-8_6.


Schuur, E.A.G., B.W. Abbott, W.B. Bowden, V. Brovkin, P. Camill, J.P. Canadell, F.S. Chapin III, T.R. Christensen, J.P. Chanton, P. Ciais, P.M. Crill, B.T. Crosby, C.I. Czimczik, G. Grosse, J. Harden, D.J. Hayes, G. Hugelius, J.D. Jastrow, T. Kleinen, C.D. Koven, G. Krinner, P. Kuhry, D.M. Lawrence, A.D. McGuire, S.M. Natali, J.A. O’Donnell, C.L. Ping, A. Rinke, W.J. Riley, V.E. Romanovsky, A.B.K. Sannel, C. Schädel, K. Schaefer, Z.M. Subin, C. Tarnocai, M. Turetsky, M. Waldrop, K. M. Walter-Anthony, K. P. Wickland, C.J. Wilson, S.A. Zimov (2011) High risk of permafrost thaw. Nature, 480, 32-33.

Hayes, D.J., A.D. McGuire, D.W. Kicklighter, K.R. Gurney, T.J. Burnside, and J.M. Melillo (2011) Is the northern high latitude land-based CO2 sink weakening? Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 25(3), GB3018, doi:10.1029/2010gb003813.

Pan, Y., R.A. Birdsey, J. Fang, R. Houghton, P. Kauppi, W.A. Kurz, O.L. Phillips, A. Shvidenko, J.G. Canadell, P. Ciais, R.B. Jackson, S. Pacala, S.L. Lewis, A.D. McGuire, S. Piao, A. Rautiainen, S. Sitch, and D.J. Hayes (2011) A large and persistent carbon sink in the World’s forests, Science, 333(6045), 988-993.

Hayes, D.J., A.D. McGuire, D.W. Kicklighter, T.J. Burnside and J. M. Melillo (2011) The effects of land cover and land use change on the contemporary carbon balance of the arctic and boreal terrestrial ecosystems of northern Eurasia. Chapter 6 in Gutman, Groisman and  Reissell (eds.) Arctic Land Cover and Land Use in a Changing Climate. NASA Land Cover and Land Use Change Program. Springer, pp 109-136.

Krankina, O.N., D. Pflugmacher, D.J. Hayes, A.D. McGuire, M. Hansen, T. Hame, V. Elsakov, and P. Nelson (2011) Vegetation cover in the Eurasian Arctic: Distribution, monitoring, and role in carbon cycling. Chapter 5 in Gutman, Groisman and Reissell (eds.) Arctic Land Cover and Land Use in a Changing Climate. NASA Land Cover and Land Use Change Program. Springer, pp 79-108.

2010 and prior

McGuire, A.D., D.J. Hayes, D.W. Kicklighter, M. Manizza, Q. Zhuang, M. Chen, M.J. Follows, K.R. Gurney, J.W. McClelland, J.M. Melillo, B.J. Peterson, and R. Prinn (2010) An analysis of the carbon balance of the Arctic Basin from 1997 to 2006, Tellus, 62B, 455-474, doi:10.1111/j.1600-0889.2010.00497.x.

McGuire, A.D., R.W. Macdonald, E.A.G. Schuur, J.W. Harden, P. Kuhry, D.J. Hayes, T.R. Christensen, and M. Heimann (2010) The carbon budget of the northern cryosphere region, Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 2(4),  231 – 236, doi:10.1016/j.cosust.2010.05.003.

McGuire, A.D., L.G. Anderson, T.R. Christensen, S. Dallimore, L. Guo, D.J. Hayes, M. Heimann, T.D. Lorenson, R.W. Macdonald, and N. Roulet. (2009) Sensitivity of the carbon cycle in the Arctic to climate change. Ecological Monographs, 79, 523-555.

Hayes, D.J., W.B. Cohen, S.A. Sader and D.E. Irwin (2008) Estimating proportional change in forest cover as a continuous variable from multi-Year MODIS data, Remote Sensing of Environment, 112,  735–749.

Hayes, D.J. and W.B. Cohen (2007) Spatial, spectral and temporal patterns of tropical forest cover change as observed with multiple scales of optical satellite data, Remote Sensing of Environment, 106, 1-16.

Hayes, D. J., S.A. Sader, and N.B. Schwartz (2002). Analyzing a forest conversion history database to explore the spatial and temporal characteristics of land cover change in Guatemala’s Maya Biosphere Reserve. Landscape Ecology, 17(4), 299-314.

Hayes, D. J., and S.A. Sader (2001). Comparison of change-detection techniques for monitoring tropical forest clearing and vegetation regrowth in a time series. Photogrammetric Engineering and Remote Sensing, 67(9), 1067-1075.

Sader, S.A., D.J. Hayes, J.A. Hepinstall, M. Coan, and C. Soza. (2001) Forest change monitoring of a remote biosphere reserve. International Journal of Remote Sensing, 22, 1937-1950.